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Overtrading

Taking more trades than your plan calls for, usually out of boredom, FOMO, or the need to make something happen.

Each unnecessary trade pays the bid-ask-spread, commissions, and slippage for an entry that lacks an edge. Overtrading also causes fatigue, which degrades the good trades that follow.

A daily trade cap and a written list of valid setups are the simplest fixes. The trading-journal will show that the extra trades have negative expectancy.

Example: a trader's plan allows three A-grade setups a day. He takes eleven trades. The three A-grade trades net +2R; the other eight net -3.5R.

Related: fomo, tilt, trading-plan, trading-journal

See it drawn

Original diagrams for the ideas on this page. Illustrative, not real market data.

The spread of outcomes behind an expectancyA histogram of forty trades: a tall block of small losses on the left, a low spread of larger wins on the right, and a line marking the average outcome.NUMBER OF TRADES051024 LOSSES, AVG −$20016 WINS, AVG +$600EXPECTANCY +$120−$400−$200$0+$200+$400+$600+$800PROFIT OR LOSS PER TRADEexpectancy = (40% × $600) − (60% × $200) = +$120 per trade
Expectancy: the average trade. Forty trades sorted by outcome: 24 small losses and 16 larger wins. Weighting each side by how often it happens gives the average result per trade, marked here by the dashed line at +$120.

Educational only, not advice. Spotted an error? Post in Site Feedback.