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Panic selling

Exiting on fear rather than on a rule, typically at the worst available price and in the last stage of a move down.

Panic exits share a pattern: no level was hit, the decision was made while arousal was peaking, and the price obtained was worse than the one available a minute before or after. Aggregated across many participants this is what produces a capitulation low. See capitulation.

The causes are usually structural rather than emotional. Size too large for the volatility, no pre-set stop, and watching the position continuously. Fix those and the same news event is uncomfortable rather than unbearable.

Distinguish it from a planned exit at an invalidation, which can look identical from outside. The difference is whether the level was written down before the move started.

Related: capitulation, freeze-response, adrenaline-dump, stop-loss

See it drawn

Original diagrams for the ideas on this page. Illustrative, not real market data.

The mood around a market cycleA price path rising to a peak and falling to a trough, labelled with the feelings usually attached to each stage of the round trip.PRICETIMEOPTIMISMEXCITEMENTEUPHORIAANXIETYDENIALPANICCAPITULATIONDESPONDENCYHOPEOPTIMISM RETURNSMAXIMUM FINANCIAL RISKMAXIMUM FINANCIAL OPPORTUNITY
The mood around a market cycle. The same price path labelled with the feelings that tend to travel with it, from optimism up to euphoria and down through panic to despondency. Confidence is highest where the most money is already committed and prices are highest.

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