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Skew index

A published measure of how steeply out-of-the-money index puts are priced relative to at-the-money options; a gauge of perceived tail risk.

Where a volatility index summarises the level of implied volatility, a skew index summarises the asymmetry. It rises when the market pays up specifically for far out-of-the-money puts, which is a different signal from a general rise in the cost of options.

Interpretation requires care. A high reading means tail protection is expensive, which is as consistent with crowded hedging as with impending disaster, and the historical record of these indices as timing tools is poor. They describe positioning and pricing, not prediction.

Example: the volatility index sits at a sleepy 13 while the skew index prints near its historical highs. Cheap at-the-money volatility, expensive wings — a favourable environment for buying put spreads and an unfavourable one for buying naked far-out puts.

Related: volatility-skew, vix, left-tail-hedge, delta-as-probability

See it drawn

Original diagrams for the ideas on this page. Illustrative, not real market data.

The volatility smile across strikesImplied volatility plotted against strike, dipping near the money and turning up at both ends, more steeply on the downside.Implied volatility32%28%24%20%8090110120Puts below the money cost moreFar calls cost more tooLowest IV near the moneyATM 100Strike price
The volatility smile. Options on the same stock and the same expiry are not priced off one volatility. Strikes near the money carry the lowest implied volatility, and it rises towards both ends — usually faster on the downside, which tilts the smile into a skew.

Educational only, not advice. Spotted an error? Post in Site Feedback.