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Market neutral

A portfolio constructed so that net exposure to the overall market is close to zero, leaving return dependent on relative performance within the book.

Neutrality can be defined on dollars, on beta, or on a full factor model that also neutralises sector, size and style exposures. Each definition leaves different residual risks, and a dollar-neutral book can be far from beta-neutral.

Because the market component is removed, gross returns are small per unit of position, and leverage is typically applied to reach a target return. That leverage is the strategy's real risk: modest adverse moves in a crowded book become large losses once multiplied.

Neutral does not mean safe. The 2007 quant event and various subsequent short squeezes showed that neutral books can lose sharply when many participants reduce risk simultaneously. See factor-crowding and short-squeeze.

Related: long-short-equity, factor-crowding, statistical-arbitrage, pairs-trading, beta, short-squeeze

See it drawn

Original diagrams for the ideas on this page. Illustrative, not real market data.

Bollinger bands squeezing and then expandingA price line between three curves: an average in the middle and a band above and below it that pinch together in the centre of the chart and then spread apart as the price runs higher.PRICE WITH BOLLINGER BANDS (20, 2)SQUEEZEupper bandpricemiddle band20-day averagelower bandbands widen asvolatility risesIllustrative prices. The bands sit two standard deviations from the average.
Bollinger bands: squeeze and expansion. The middle line is a 20-day average and the outer bands sit a set number of standard deviations away, so they measure how far price has recently been straying. When moves are small the bands pinch together; when moves grow they spread apart.
Margin and leverageA small deposit controlling a much larger position, and the point at which losses trigger a margin call.Position you controlnotional value $100,000your margin deposit: $5,000$100,000 / $5,000 = 20:1 leverageYour deposit absorbs every dollar of loss$5,000$2,500$0Equity leftMARGIN CALLequity has fallen to $2,5000%1%2%2.5%3%4%5%How far the price moves against you
Margin and leverage. A $5,000 deposit can control a $100,000 position, which is 20:1 leverage. Because the loss is measured on the full $100,000, a 2.5% move against you halves the deposit and brings a margin call, and a 5% move uses all of it.

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